Find an argument.
26 results
- EssayEurope scores well on the wrong examEurope leads the organized-crime resilience index. Its strongest defences have the weakest visible relationship with financial and cyber crime.
- EssayEvery 2026 number in this Europe forecast was wrongA dramatic Europe forecast failed its first dated tests. Its 38 revised propositions can now be inspected and scored.
- EssayThe Millennial Optimization TrapWhy rational choices for security and stability can leave a society less able to create what comes next.
- EssayAbundance arrives unevenlyAn assessment of 62 claims about 2031 shows a large gap between technical feasibility and access for most people.
- EssayThe winner that still losesA geopolitical scenario calls India an all-weather winner. Its regional matrix reveals what a relative victory can conceal.
- EssayA visa is not a brain gainThe global talent map counts passes, insured workers and refugees together. What would show that mobility became durable capability?
- EssayEurope Built a Housing ShortageHigh prices are the symptom. The real test is whether Europe can turn demand into accessible homes fast enough.
- EssayThe Best AI Businesses May Be Built Before AGI ArrivesAI can generate work faster than organizations can complete it. The commercial question is who owns the context, authority and outcomes—and whether incumbents already do.
- EssayWho Pays for the AI Revolution—and Who Collects the Returns?AI's bill, ownership and dividend sit on different balance sheets. The useful question is not who builds intelligence, but which account captures the return.
- InfographicA high score can hide the wrong testEurope’s defences score well. Two markets resist the reassurance.
- InfographicPut a date on the predictionA forecast becomes accountable when the calendar reaches it.
- InfographicWhen the safe choice becomes the systemEach decision protects a life. Together, they may narrow the space to build.
- InfographicThe invention is not the arrivalA capability can become real long before most people can use it.
- InfographicThe winner that still losesFirst place in a bad future can still be below zero.
- InfographicFour numbers. Four different populations.A visa, an insured worker and a refugee are not units of brain gain.
- InfographicBuilding activity is not housing availabilityA country can build and still deepen shortage pressure.
- InfographicFour gates before an AI business worksThe model is only the first gate. The buyer pays for accountable outcomes.
- InfographicDo not merge the AI ledgersThe bill, the asset and the dividend can land in different hands.
- InvestigationThe wrong examInstitutional resilience and two crime markets
- InvestigationThe forecast ledger38 dated Europe propositions
- InvestigationThe access gap62 feasibility and access judgments
- InvestigationThe winner that still loses168 scenario impact judgments across seven regions and eight sectors
- InvestigationThe talent count auditFour migration headlines and their dated definitions
- InvestigationThe housing shortage equationConstruction activity versus accessible housing supply
- InvestigationThe AI business gatesCapability, data, authority and buyer economics for commercial AI systems
- InvestigationThe AI returns ledgerFinancial return, producer value and consumer surplus in the AI buildout