Long-form commentary and analysis from AU.
Essays
Europe has the highest resilience score of any continent. It has the second-lowest criminality score, behind only Oceania. Its overall crime levels held steady between 2023 and 2025, while those across most of the rest of the world rose. This is the headline of the 2025 Global Organized Crime
Essays
A research report has been circulating since January that applies the Strauss–Howe generational theory to Europe. Its argument is clean and its conclusion is dramatic: Europe entered a Fourth Turning in 2008, the crisis climaxes around 2030, and by the mid-2030s the continent will have been remade — federalised,
Essays
European millennials inherited societies increasingly organized around maintenance. For much of Western and Northern Europe, they came of age in countries that had already solved many of the basic problems that shaped earlier generations. They inherited functioning welfare states, developed infrastructure, relatively stable institutions, expanding higher education, and unusually high
Essays
The useful questions are often the uncomfortable ones.