Institutions / crime
A high score can hide the wrong test
Europe’s defences score well. Two markets resist the reassurance.
AU / The visual argumentCorrelation is not cause
2025 / Europe6.28/10Institutional resilience score
Inverse relationship0Positive relationship
Financial crime
−0.240
Cyber-dependent crime
+0.324
Correlation with overall resilience across countries; scale −1 to +1.
Look closer ↓Readau / AU Review
The 2025 Index’s resilience score measures institutional response. The correlations ask a different question: how does that score move with two individual criminal markets?
The correlations are descriptive. Better detection and reporting can raise recorded cyber crime, and correlation does not establish institutional effectiveness or cause.
Source and status. Global Organized Crime Index 2025 as reported in the AU essay; scale 1–10 for resilience. The two market associations are country-level correlations. Visual version 1, 1 October 2026.